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Solo-mining probability

Know your odds.
Mine with your eyes open.

BlockLuck translates your hashrate and validated proof-of-work network state into understandable odds, expected time, and probability landmarks.

BlockLuck approved v3 luck-cube symbol, with a lime crystal and teal block.
Approved v3 identity · Calculator in development

The question

This miner.
This network.
What are the odds?

Small percentages are difficult to reason about. BlockLuck presents the same probability through several useful lenses, so a result has context.

Market price can appear alongside the calculation. It never changes the mining probability.

Expected time

When?

Expected blocks and expected time translate network share into a timescale.

Readable odds

1 in X

A familiar representation of a small probability, without implying a guaranteed outcome.

Luck landmarks

50 / 90 / 99%

The time needed to reach these cumulative probability levels at the same hashrate.

These are descriptions of calculator outputs, not live mining results.

The accuracy contract

Uncertain data?
Withhold the odds.

BlockLuck is fail-closed. Required provider disagreement, stale state, malformed values, future-dated data, or upstream failure suppresses precise-looking odds.

Validation includes server checks, independent reconciliation where available, atomic snapshots, and browser freshness checks.

Runtime state vocabularyLIVE · DEGRADED
OFFLINE · CHECKING

“Certified” describes a supported calculation path. “Live” describes the current evidence. These labels explain the product; they do not report a live connection here.

Current project coverage

Different protocols.
One probability engine.

The current certified engine covers 17 unique proof-of-work coins across 21 mining paths.

Target work

Protocol-appropriate state

Bitcoin, BCH, BSV, Radiant, and other supported paths use their required work model instead of a generic displayed-hashrate shortcut.

DigiByte

Five algorithms, five paths

SHA-256d, Scrypt, Skein, Qubit, and Odocrypt retain algorithm-specific opportunity and difficulty state.

Coverage rule

Research comes before certification

Special reward models, hybrid consensus, BlockDAGs, shards, and workshares stay out of published odds until their model is defensible.

BTC · BCH · BSV · DGB × 5 · LTC · DOGE · PEP · RVN · FIRO · RXD · ETC · XMR · ZEC · ERG · DASH · SC · QRL

Calculation principles

Readable answers.
Strict foundations.

  1. Explicit

    Calculate means calculate

    Results appear only after the user explicitly chooses Calculate.

  2. Consistent

    One validated snapshot

    Network metrics, price context, events, probabilities, and update time belong to the same validated snapshot.

  3. Shared math

    Adapters respect each protocol

    Coin adapters translate chain state into expected work. The shared probability engine handles the math.

Active development

Expand coverage.
Keep the standard.

Coverage grows when each calculation path meets the same live-data and reconciliation standard. Research-only paths stay out of published odds until they are ready.